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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.31vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.51+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.88+0.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.46-1.33vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.37-0.08vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+0.10vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.67+0.25vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.47-1.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.08+1.27vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology-1.37-1.19vs Predicted
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13Florida State University-2.39-1.03vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-3.94+0.13vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-2.89-2.31vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.39Jacksonville University1.510.2%1st Place
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4.18University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Miami0.880.1%1st Place
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3.67North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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5.92Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.1Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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8.25Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.78Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.27University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.81Florida Institute of Technology-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.97Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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14.13Embry-Riddle University-3.940.0%1st Place
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12.69The Citadel-2.890.0%1st Place
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11.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 23.1% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.4% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 14.0% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.3% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zi Burns | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 3.9% |
| William Meade | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 7.8% |
| Jacob Nasser | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 64.3% |
| Ander Alonso | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 28.6% | 16.8% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.