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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+5.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+2.98vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.20+4.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.27+0.56vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+2.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+0.20vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.26+1.26vs Predicted
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8Yale University0.07+4.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.20+3.44vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.64-2.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.44-3.63vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.13-1.24vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.71-3.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-4.76vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.76-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Roger Williams University1.848.3%1st Place
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4.98Boston College2.0214.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island1.207.2%1st Place
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4.56Georgetown University2.2716.4%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.9%1st Place
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6.2Brown University1.7210.4%1st Place
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8.26North Carolina State University1.265.0%1st Place
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12.01Yale University0.071.7%1st Place
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12.44Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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7.14University of Miami1.645.6%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.447.2%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.185.8%1st Place
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11.76University of Wisconsin0.131.9%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.5%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College0.762.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Sigel | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Peter Barnard | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 19.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 28.6% |
| Steven Hardee | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.