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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+8.07vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+7.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.88+4.86vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+5.70vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+4.21vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.51+3.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.92-0.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-0.15vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-0.54vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.71-3.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.52vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-5.73vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-1.14vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.05-5.75vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-3.89vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.37-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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7.86Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.58Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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10.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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14.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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11.25Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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14.11Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Factor | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Gary Herring | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 38.4% |
| Drew Shea | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 28.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.