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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+4.76vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.27+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.64+3.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+2.89vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+3.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University0.07+4.86vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.76+2.78vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.26-0.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.20-3.17vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-4.33vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.44-5.51vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-1.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-8.78vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.13-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Boston College2.0214.5%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University1.847.9%1st Place
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4.62Georgetown University2.2716.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Miami1.647.3%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.405.9%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University0.713.5%1st Place
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11.86Yale University0.071.8%1st Place
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10.78Bowdoin College0.762.7%1st Place
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8.47North Carolina State University1.265.3%1st Place
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10.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island1.206.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University1.186.3%1st Place
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7.49Cornell University1.446.2%1st Place
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12.57Harvard University-0.201.3%1st Place
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6.22Brown University1.7210.2%1st Place
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11.68University of Wisconsin0.132.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Barnard | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% |
| Beck Lorsch | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 20.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Olivia Sowa | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Max Sigel | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 30.8% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nigel Yu | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.