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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.69vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.59+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.76vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.64-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.05-0.52vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.16+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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3.44Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.46Arizona State University0.640.2%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
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7.03Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.06University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 29.8% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 18.5% | 19.3% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 18.4% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Garcia | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Down | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Liam Williams | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 15.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 27.7% |
| Bella Valente | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.