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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.05+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.66vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+0.55vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University0.64-0.54vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.16+1.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.01-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.52-2.38vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
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2.66University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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3.55Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.46Arizona State University0.640.2%1st Place
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6.97Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Garcia | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 30.1% | 24.3% | 19.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 16.2% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 18.7% | 18.3% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 6.1% |
| Adam Leddy | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% |
| Liam Williams | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 28.3% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 10.4% |
| Bella Valente | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.