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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.59+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.07+3.92vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.16+3.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.52+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.05-1.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.01-4.31vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.64-6.71vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.31-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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2.69University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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7.13Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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7.66University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.29Arizona State University0.640.2%1st Place
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8.99University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 15.0% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 29.8% | 23.2% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Down | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 13.0% |
| David Garcia | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 15.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 19.7% | 26.8% |
| Adam Leddy | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Juan Casal | 21.1% | 19.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 21.2% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.