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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.59+2.02vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-2.45+6.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.05-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-2.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+2.25vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.16-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-1.33vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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8.89Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
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2.3University of California at Los Angeles1.060.4%1st Place
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8.25University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.15Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.67University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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8.58University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.99University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 21.0% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 33.3% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.0% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Garcia | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 38.1% | 26.8% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| Andrew Down | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Liam Williams | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 10.6% |
| Bella Valente | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 26.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.