← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Arizona State University0.59+2.01vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Irvine-0.01+1.99vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.05+1.04vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Irvine-1.52+3.26vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-1.16+1.31vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-2.45+1.75vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+0.05vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-1.42vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.44vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles1.06-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
-
3.99University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
-
4.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
-
7.26University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
6.31Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.75Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.05University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
-
2.27University of California at Los Angeles1.060.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Boylan | 21.2% | 22.2% | 20.7% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.6% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Garcia | 11.1% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Down | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 30.9% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 18.2% |
| Liam Williams | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.2% |
| Bella Valente | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 20.8% | 25.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 38.9% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.