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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.70+3.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.32+0.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.54vs Predicted
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6American University-0.61+0.76vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.27-1.50vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.95-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59George Washington University0.709.6%1st Place
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2.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7928.2%1st Place
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3.49U. S. Naval Academy1.3218.1%1st Place
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4.16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9012.5%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy0.8311.9%1st Place
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6.76American University-0.612.4%1st Place
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5.5Old Dominion University0.276.4%1st Place
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4.24Rollins College0.9510.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tryg van Wyk | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
Landon Cormie | 28.2% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
Spencer Dominguez | 18.1% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
Max Kleha | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 5.3% |
Margo Cicero | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 7.3% |
Brooke Lorson | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 55.1% |
Emma Friedauer | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 25.8% | 17.5% |
Milo Miller | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.