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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.68vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands0.42+1.77vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.59+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.01+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+4.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.05-2.61vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.45+1.76vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-1.52-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.31-1.31vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.16-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of California at Los Angeles1.060.3%1st Place
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3.77California State University Channel Islands0.420.2%1st Place
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3.46Arizona State University0.590.2%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Irvine-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.13University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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4.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.050.1%1st Place
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9.76Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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9.69University of California at San Diego-2.310.0%1st Place
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7.18Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 29.7% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 15.2% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 20.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| David Garcia | 13.6% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 21.7% | 32.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Liam Williams | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% |
| Bella Valente | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 27.7% |
| Andrew Down | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.