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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.66+0.34vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.79+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.62+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-2.22-0.51vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.52-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-1.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.36-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-3.19-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Arizona State University-0.900.2%1st Place
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2.68University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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5.8Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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7.58University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Irvine-2.220.1%1st Place
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7.25Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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7.2University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.64University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 15.4% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 31.7% | 23.3% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 19.2% | 21.3% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 17.2% |
| Teresa Dang | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| Aidan Araoz | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.9% |
| Grace Richie | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 8.3% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 18.9% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.