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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.66+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-2.22+3.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-1.21vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-2.52+2.33vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-3.19-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.62-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Arizona State University-0.900.2%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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7.33Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.73Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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6.15University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 15.1% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 22.4% | 21.5% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% |
| Hunter Holguin | 29.7% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Teresa Dang | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Aidan Araoz | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| Grace Richie | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 35.7% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.