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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-0.66+2.29vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-0.90+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.24vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.79+1.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.42+2.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.62+0.42vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.52-0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-2.22-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.36-3.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-3.19-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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3.68Arizona State University-0.900.2%1st Place
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2.76University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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5.81Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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7.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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7.26Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Swatek | 21.1% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 17.4% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 27.8% | 25.5% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Aidan Araoz | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% |
| Teresa Dang | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
| Maria Gunness | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.6% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% |
| Matthew Stank | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 7.6% |
| Grace Richie | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 8.7% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 18.8% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.