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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+4.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.66vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-2.52+2.35vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-3.19+1.60vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-2.22-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.36-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.62-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Arizona State University-0.900.2%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.1%1st Place
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2.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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3.34University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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7.35Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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5.73Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
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6.56University of California at Irvine-2.220.1%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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7.44University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% |
| Teresa Dang | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 27.7% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 21.1% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 35.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Aidan Araoz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% |
| Grace Richie | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.