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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+2.75vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University-1.79+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-2.07+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.62+3.82vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-2.52+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.66-2.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-4.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-3.19+0.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-2.42-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-2.22-3.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.36-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.59Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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7.31Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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3.33University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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2.63University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 14.9% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 18.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% |
| Nikita Swatek | 20.1% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 33.1% | 23.5% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 34.3% |
| Aidan Araoz | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 10.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Grace Richie | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.