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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+3.30vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands-0.84+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.42+2.96vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-2.52+2.24vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-2.22-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-3.19+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.36-2.29vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.07-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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4.08California State University Channel Islands-0.840.1%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.3%1st Place
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3.68University of California at Irvine-0.660.2%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.420.0%1st Place
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8.24Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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6.24Arizona State University-1.790.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Los Angeles-3.190.0%1st Place
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7.71University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Los Angeles-2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 13.1% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 26.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 17.6% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Araoz | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.4% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Stank | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Aki Schuessler-Langeheine | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 34.2% |
| Grace Richie | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Maria Gunness | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| Teresa Dang | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.