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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.76vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.32+1.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.83+1.53vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.70+0.60vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.27+0.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.85vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-2.63vs Predicted
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8American University-0.61-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7930.0%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Naval Academy1.3218.4%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy0.839.9%1st Place
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4.6George Washington University0.708.6%1st Place
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5.41Old Dominion University0.276.8%1st Place
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4.15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9013.1%1st Place
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4.37Rollins College0.9510.8%1st Place
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6.72American University-0.612.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 30.0% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Margo Cicero | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 23.5% | 17.4% |
| Max Kleha | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 3.8% |
| Milo Miller | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.