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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+9.02vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+5.81vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.56+6.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.88vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.51+1.13vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.67-1.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05+0.33vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.88-4.02vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.71-4.78vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-3.95vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.36-5.24vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-8.43vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-3.84vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.82SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.33Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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7.98Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.22Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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7.57University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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14.16Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 3.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Pesch | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Gary Herring | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Harry Scott | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Drew Shea | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Alex Cook | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Amy Hawkins | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 19.0% | 28.4% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.