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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.13+5.76vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.31+1.41vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.91vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.17-1.81vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.20+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.08+4.22vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79-3.44vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.26-3.07vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.20-3.91vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.58-2.97vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.00vs Predicted
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13University of Tennessee-2.55-0.83vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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3.41North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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6.91Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.19College of Charleston2.170.4%1st Place
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7.08University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.97University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.22University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.56Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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5.93Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.09Clemson University0.200.1%1st Place
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8.03Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Tennessee-2.550.0%1st Place
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10.68University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddison Carew | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 19.4% | 19.3% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 40.2% | 28.4% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Robert Gates | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 17.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 11.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Cook | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 24.5% | 31.5% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 38.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 17.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.