← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.26+4.80vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.31+1.42vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University-0.58+4.92vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.17-1.79vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University0.79-0.30vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.18+1.11vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University0.20-1.20vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.13-1.17vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-0.20-1.92vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37+1.95vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.51-3.13vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.19vs Predicted
-
13University of South Carolina-2.08-1.67vs Predicted
-
14University of Tennessee-2.55-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.8Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
-
3.42North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
-
7.92Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
-
2.21College of Charleston2.170.4%1st Place
-
4.7Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.11Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
5.8Clemson University0.200.1%1st Place
-
6.83North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
7.08University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
-
11.95University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
-
7.87University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.33University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of Tennessee-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Barnes | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 19.1% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 40.8% | 26.4% | 15.1% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 8.0% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maddison Carew | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 30.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 13.0% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 22.9% | 19.1% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 24.8% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.