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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+1.18vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.13+4.70vs Predicted
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3Duke University-0.18+3.94vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.20+3.04vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.79-0.35vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.31-2.36vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.26-1.40vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.20-2.04vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.58-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.08+1.46vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.51-4.17vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of Tennessee-2.55-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.18College of Charleston2.170.4%1st Place
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6.7North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.94Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.04University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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4.65Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.64North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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5.6Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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5.96Clemson University0.200.1%1st Place
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8.08Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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10.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.83University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Tennessee-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 42.8% | 25.5% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 16.5% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Cook | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Robert Gates | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 22.1% | 20.5% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 12.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 18.2% | 24.7% | 29.0% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.