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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.27+4.46vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.84vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.32+0.43vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+0.32vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.70-0.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.83-1.48vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.81vs Predicted
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8American University-0.61-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Old Dominion University0.276.6%1st Place
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2.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7926.4%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy1.3219.8%1st Place
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4.32Rollins College0.9511.9%1st Place
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4.55George Washington University0.7010.2%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy0.839.9%1st Place
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4.19St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9012.5%1st Place
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6.68American University-0.612.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Friedauer | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 19.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 26.4% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 19.8% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Milo Miller | 11.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 7.4% |
| Max Kleha | 12.5% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Lorson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 52.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.