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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University-0.18+6.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.17+0.21vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.51+5.37vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.26+2.24vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.20+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+4.48vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.79-3.10vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-0.13-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-2.08+2.30vs Predicted
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11Wake Forest University-0.10-3.68vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.20-5.39vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-0.06vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.58-5.45vs Predicted
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15University of Tennessee-2.55-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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2.21College of Charleston2.170.4%1st Place
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8.37University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.24Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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3.74North Carolina State University1.310.2%1st Place
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7.53University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.9Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.32North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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12.3University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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7.32Wake Forest University-0.100.0%1st Place
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6.61Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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12.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.55Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Tennessee-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Charles Mckenzie | 42.3% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 17.2% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 20.8% | 9.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 9.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gates | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 23.2% | 19.9% |
| Dylan Flack | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Cook | 4.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 24.5% | 31.6% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.