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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.17+1.29vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.79+2.66vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.26+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.51+4.05vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31-1.17vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.13+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.72-2.24vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.18-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-2.55+3.30vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.58-1.72vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.20-4.76vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.08-1.58vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.37-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29College of Charleston2.170.4%1st Place
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4.66Clemson University0.790.1%1st Place
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6.07Clemson University0.260.1%1st Place
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8.05University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.83North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.15North Carolina State University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.76University of North Carolina0.720.1%1st Place
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7.15Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Tennessee-2.550.0%1st Place
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8.28Clemson University-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.24Clemson University0.200.0%1st Place
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10.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.42University of South Carolina-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Mckenzie | 41.4% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 9.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Usher | 13.5% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Baugh | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Clement | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 16.4% | 24.2% | 38.9% |
| Samantha Bialek | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Garrett Cook | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 11.1% |
| Robert Gates | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 23.1% | 19.0% |
| Joey Dunn | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 23.5% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.