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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+1.81vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.29+3.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.09-0.92vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.55+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+4.06vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.19-0.73vs Predicted
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8Clemson University-0.97+0.38vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.36-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-1.07vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.80-3.24vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.60-4.40vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.22Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.08College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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7.35Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.8University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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10.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.27North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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8.38Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.91Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.93University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.76Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.6University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.84University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 25.4% | 26.0% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Thomson | 42.0% | 30.2% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Froeb | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Noah Jost | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Erin Winters | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 25.8% | 17.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 3.1% |
| Antonio Priskich | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 8.0% |
| Jack Houseal | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 15.3% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.