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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.09+1.10vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina0.00+2.94vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36+2.86vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19+1.32vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.29-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+1.82vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.55-0.75vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.80-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.60-3.73vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.97-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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2.76North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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5.94University of North Carolina0.000.0%1st Place
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6.86Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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6.32North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.18Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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8.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.25Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.01Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.05University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.27University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.57Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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11.85University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Thomson | 42.6% | 28.3% | 15.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 25.6% | 27.2% | 20.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Antonio Priskich | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Ashton Loring | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Froeb | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Erin Winters | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 24.8% | 18.7% |
| May Proctor | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 4.4% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.