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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.29+4.21vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+5.99vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.54-1.18vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.00+0.78vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.80+1.91vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.19-0.68vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.36-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.60-3.71vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.68-0.22vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.97-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.08College of Charleston2.090.4%1st Place
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8.99University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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2.82North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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5.78University of North Carolina0.000.1%1st Place
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7.91Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.32North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.24Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.91Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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10.09University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.29University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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8.57Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 43.1% | 28.6% | 15.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 5.8% |
| Jacob Usher | 23.7% | 27.9% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Froeb | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Antonio Priskich | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Erin Winters | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 25.5% | 18.8% |
| May Proctor | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 14.6% | 61.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.