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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.29+3.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.35vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+3.33vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.55+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.60-0.14vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.19-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21+1.67vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.80-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-2.68+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-2.27vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.97-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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1.99College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.65North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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6.44Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.33University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.8Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.86University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.9North Carolina State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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10.67University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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7.37Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.35University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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8.04Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.6% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 45.2% | 29.2% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 25.3% | 28.3% | 22.4% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Froeb | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Annika Milstien | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 24.5% | 28.9% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 22.0% | 44.4% |
| Erin Winters | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.