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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.36+5.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.03vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.29+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.60+2.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-2.42vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+2.39vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.55-0.22vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-2.21+2.62vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.68+2.43vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-0.39vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.80-3.72vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.19-5.89vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.97-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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1.97College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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4.91Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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6.96University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.58North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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8.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.78Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.62University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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11.43University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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9.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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7.28Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.11North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.01Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Priskich | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Thomson | 45.7% | 30.6% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 27.9% | 27.8% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Froeb | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 26.5% | 25.3% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 50.6% |
| Erin Winters | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 13.5% |
| Jack Houseal | 1.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Annika Milstien | 3.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Laufer | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.