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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.29+3.88vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.09-0.01vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54-0.36vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36+2.42vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.19+0.92vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.55+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+1.34vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60-1.14vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.80-1.48vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.97-2.17vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.51vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina-2.68-0.49vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-2.21-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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1.99College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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2.64North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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6.42Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.92North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.79Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.86University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.52Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.83Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.49University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.51University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.8University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.4% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Thomson | 45.4% | 28.1% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 26.0% | 29.0% | 20.2% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.7% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Froeb | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| May Proctor | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 3.1% |
| Erin Winters | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 10.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 19.1% | 51.7% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 25.4% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.