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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+9.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+6.40vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.07+3.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+2.13vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.45+4.27vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.73+2.40vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.01+3.79vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-4.87vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.36+0.23vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.89vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.16-0.60vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-2.72vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.07-2.73vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.31-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.99-4.77vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University1.80-9.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23College of Charleston1.264.0%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University1.796.5%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University2.077.8%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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7.13Harvard University2.177.9%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College1.453.0%1st Place
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9.4Tulane University1.735.0%1st Place
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11.79Tufts University1.012.9%1st Place
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4.13Yale University2.4221.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston College1.363.4%1st Place
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9.11Brown University1.695.3%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College1.845.5%1st Place
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12.4University of Pennsylvania1.162.4%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.183.2%1st Place
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12.27George Washington University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University1.314.2%1st Place
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12.23University of South Florida0.992.4%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University1.807.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 21.0% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.7% |
| Emily Doble | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.