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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont4.10+1.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85-0.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.07+2.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+3.51vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.98-1.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.23-2.84vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08-1.73vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.53-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-4.53vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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1.96Yale University4.850.4%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.59Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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4.16Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.6Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ambrose Gosling | 23.6% | 27.2% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 44.7% | 29.6% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 11.9% | 1.2% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 53.2% | 18.9% |
| Leah Hughes | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.6% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chris Grabe | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 10.4% | 1.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 13.9% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.