Race 2A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 14.4% 13.7% 14.4% 10.1% 9.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.6% 4.9% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Emily Billing 12.2% 11.3% 10.1% 9.8% 9.1% 10.9% 8.8% 7.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 1.5% 0.6%
Caleb Armstrong 9.3% 11.0% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 9.9% 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 7.4% 6.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Jessica Claflin 7.0% 8.1% 9.0% 9.1% 7.8% 9.5% 9.3% 8.0% 7.8% 8.0% 6.6% 5.0% 4.3% 0.5%
Connor Needham 10.7% 12.2% 10.3% 13.8% 10.6% 9.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 4.7% 3.3% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4%
Alexander Rudkin 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 3.4% 3.9% 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 6.3% 9.6% 10.6% 13.9% 16.2% 14.4%
Matthew Paige 6.1% 5.7% 6.6% 5.6% 5.0% 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 8.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.3% 7.6% 3.5%
Andrew Tamblyn 9.8% 9.3% 10.8% 8.5% 9.1% 7.8% 9.5% 7.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.2% 4.4% 3.2% 0.5%
Bo McClatchy 9.4% 7.0% 9.2% 8.2% 10.7% 9.0% 9.3% 8.1% 8.4% 7.3% 6.3% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Tom Peabody 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 9.0% 7.3% 7.7% 7.8% 9.2% 7.1% 9.4% 8.5% 8.7% 6.2% 2.6%
Thomas Presti 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 1.9% 2.8% 3.9% 4.1% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 16.1% 18.7% 19.6%
William Simon 3.1% 3.3% 4.5% 3.4% 5.6% 5.2% 5.7% 6.6% 8.4% 9.3% 11.0% 12.9% 13.5% 7.5%
John McGlynn 6.4% 6.7% 5.8% 7.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.5% 9.8% 9.2% 6.9% 10.6% 8.6% 4.8% 2.0%
Priscilla Stoll 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 5.3% 7.2% 8.3% 17.3% 46.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.