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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.95+3.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.83+1.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.32-0.49vs Predicted
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5American University-0.61+1.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.70-1.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.86vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.27-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Rollins College0.9511.8%1st Place
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7927.5%1st Place
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4.51U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.8%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy1.3217.7%1st Place
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6.77American University-0.612.2%1st Place
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4.55George Washington University0.709.9%1st Place
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4.14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9013.1%1st Place
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5.4Old Dominion University0.277.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 6.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 27.5% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 7.5% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 17.7% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Brooke Lorson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 55.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 6.6% |
| Max Kleha | 13.1% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Emma Friedauer | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 22.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.