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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.29+3.91vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.63vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.09-1.00vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.36+2.45vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.80+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.60-0.14vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.19-2.05vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.55-2.12vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.97-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70-1.49vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-2.21-1.27vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-2.68-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.63North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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2.0College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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6.45Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.35Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.86University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.95North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.88Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.73University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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11.58University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 25.4% | 30.6% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Thomson | 45.2% | 27.6% | 15.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antonio Priskich | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Annika Milstien | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Froeb | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Erin Winters | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 20.7% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.