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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.29+3.86vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.54+0.62vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.19+3.03vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.09-2.07vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.97+2.88vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+2.35vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.70+2.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.68+3.37vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-2.21+1.66vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.55-3.16vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.36-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.60-4.86vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.80-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Clemson University0.290.1%1st Place
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2.62North Carolina State University1.540.3%1st Place
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6.03North Carolina State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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1.93College of Charleston2.090.5%1st Place
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7.88Clemson University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.37University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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10.66University of North Carolina-2.210.0%1st Place
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6.84Duke University-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.23Clemson University-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.14University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.57Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Loring | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 25.5% | 30.7% | 20.4% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Milstien | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Thomson | 48.2% | 26.1% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Laufer | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
| Erin Winters | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 13.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 20.9% | 47.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 24.3% | 29.1% |
| Ryan Froeb | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Antonio Priskich | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| May Proctor | 1.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Houseal | 1.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.