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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.14+2.80vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.86vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.49+0.22vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79-1.21vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.13-0.78vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.09-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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2.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.3%1st Place
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3.22Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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2.79Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.12Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arantxa Argibay | 11.7% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 25.3% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Emma Friedauer | 19.5% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 9.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 24.7% | 22.2% | 22.8% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 31.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 21.4% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.