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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.85vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+0.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+0.15vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.09-0.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.49-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.3%1st Place
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3.72University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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4.15North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.19Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.26Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 24.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 25.8% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 21.2% | 17.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 20.8% | 29.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 30.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.5% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.