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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.82vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+0.85vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.09+1.06vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.13-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Christopher Newport University0.790.2%1st Place
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.3%1st Place
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4.06Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.25Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 24.5% | 24.2% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 25.4% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 25.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.4% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 9.4% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 32.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.