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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.88vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.09+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+0.74vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79-1.20vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.49-1.65vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.13-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.2%1st Place
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4.04Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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2.8Christopher Newport University0.790.3%1st Place
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3.35Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.18North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 24.5% | 21.5% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 27.0% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 21.8% | 17.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 25.3% | 21.4% | 20.7% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 17.6% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.6% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.