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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+1.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.13+2.10vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.49+0.25vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.14vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.09-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Christopher Newport University0.790.3%1st Place
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4.1North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.25Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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2.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.2%1st Place
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4.17Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 25.3% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 22.9% | 27.8% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.7% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 23.9% | 21.8% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 10.9% | 5.0% |
| Carly Mraz | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 30.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.