Race 3A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bo McClatchy 8.8% 9.2% 10.7% 7.8% 9.6% 8.8% 8.6% 8.4% 8.1% 6.3% 6.0% 3.7% 3.1% 0.9%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 15.7% 12.5% 13.3% 11.0% 10.9% 9.9% 8.0% 6.4% 4.6% 2.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Caleb Armstrong 10.2% 9.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.3% 8.4% 8.9% 6.9% 4.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4%
Emily Billing 8.9% 11.7% 10.8% 9.4% 9.6% 11.2% 7.5% 7.4% 6.4% 7.0% 4.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Connor Needham 10.4% 12.2% 12.6% 11.2% 12.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.6% 5.7% 5.8% 3.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Andrew Tamblyn 8.6% 9.7% 8.1% 10.4% 9.4% 8.4% 7.8% 8.7% 6.8% 7.0% 6.9% 5.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Jessica Claflin 9.6% 8.7% 9.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.7% 6.5% 7.1% 4.6% 2.5% 0.6%
John McGlynn 6.7% 5.8% 6.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.8% 9.3% 7.8% 9.0% 6.5% 2.7%
Tom Peabody 6.4% 5.2% 6.4% 5.6% 7.6% 7.1% 10.5% 8.7% 9.4% 9.2% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 1.9%
Alexander Rudkin 3.0% 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 7.4% 7.4% 9.8% 13.6% 17.9% 13.6%
Matthew Paige 4.9% 5.6% 3.2% 7.2% 5.8% 7.7% 6.4% 7.9% 8.6% 10.1% 10.3% 9.7% 8.5% 4.1%
Thomas Presti 2.1% 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 2.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 7.7% 10.8% 14.4% 18.4% 19.0%
William Simon 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.0% 5.9% 5.6% 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 11.2% 13.0% 12.6% 7.6%
Priscilla Stoll 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 8.8% 16.1% 48.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.