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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.32+2.14vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.95+1.80vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.67vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.04vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-2.46vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.91+0.32vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.27-2.16vs Predicted
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8American University-2.91-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy1.3220.4%1st Place
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3.8Rollins College0.9513.6%1st Place
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3.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9014.9%1st Place
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3.96U. S. Naval Academy0.8310.7%1st Place
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2.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7932.0%1st Place
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6.32George Washington University-0.911.9%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University0.276.2%1st Place
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7.74American University-2.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dominguez | 20.4% | 21.6% | 18.3% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 14.9% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Margo Cicero | 10.7% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 32.0% | 22.9% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 56.8% | 11.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 1.4% |
| Julia Kane | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 7.8% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.