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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.09+3.12vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+0.79vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.49+0.21vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-0.13+0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14-1.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.79Christopher Newport University0.790.3%1st Place
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3.21Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.15North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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2.88St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Mraz | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 28.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 27.0% | 23.3% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 6.1% |
| Emma Friedauer | 19.1% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Maddison Carew | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 28.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 11.0% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 22.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 24.1% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.