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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+1.90vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.09+2.05vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.79-0.22vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.49-0.75vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.13-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.2%1st Place
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4.05Princeton University-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.78Christopher Newport University0.790.3%1st Place
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3.25Old Dominion University0.490.2%1st Place
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4.24North Carolina State University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cho-Cho Williams | 23.8% | 22.2% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 26.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 26.3% | 21.8% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Emma Friedauer | 18.1% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 9.9% |
| Maddison Carew | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 21.2% | 31.3% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 13.0% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 19.5% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.