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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+1.35vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College0.48+2.09vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.62-0.61vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.32+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55-0.98vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-1.49+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18-1.78vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.53-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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4.09Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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2.39Jacksonville University1.620.3%1st Place
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5.36Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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4.02University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.94Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.22University of Central Florida-0.180.1%1st Place
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5.63Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 33.8% | 28.6% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 9.8% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 33.5% | 25.8% | 20.6% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 12.5% |
| Luke Justin | 9.1% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 56.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 11.4% |
| Andrew Lam | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 27.3% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.