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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.48+3.00vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.62+0.38vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida-0.18+2.15vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.550.00vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.61-2.54vs Predicted
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6Embry-Riddle University-0.53-0.33vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.32-1.61vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.49-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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2.38Jacksonville University1.620.3%1st Place
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5.15University of Central Florida-0.180.1%1st Place
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4.0University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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2.46Jacksonville University1.610.3%1st Place
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5.67Embry-Riddle University-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.39Florida State University-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.95Rollins College-1.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Morin | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Cole Schweda | 32.3% | 29.0% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 5.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 10.1% |
| Luke Justin | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 31.1% | 27.3% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 4.1% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 17.4% |
| Tia Schoening | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 13.6% |
| Harriss Thorne | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 22.4% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.