Race 4A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jessica Claflin 7.1% 8.4% 10.9% 9.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.3% 9.4% 7.8% 7.4% 5.5% 4.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 15.3% 12.6% 14.4% 9.7% 11.3% 9.7% 8.2% 6.6% 4.4% 2.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Bo McClatchy 9.6% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.7% 8.9% 7.5% 8.4% 5.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
Emily Billing 9.0% 10.1% 11.6% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 8.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Connor Needham 10.9% 11.3% 12.2% 14.0% 9.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 6.7% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3%
John McGlynn 6.5% 5.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 8.6% 7.7% 8.5% 9.6% 8.8% 9.7% 6.4% 2.3%
Thomas Presti 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.6% 6.7% 9.6% 13.4% 19.6% 16.6%
Caleb Armstrong 10.0% 10.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.0% 8.8% 7.2% 8.9% 7.5% 5.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.7% 0.5%
William Simon 4.2% 3.3% 2.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.0% 5.5% 6.9% 8.2% 9.8% 11.8% 14.2% 12.5% 7.6%
Alexander Rudkin 3.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 4.7% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 7.1% 8.5% 10.6% 13.4% 16.2% 14.2%
Matthew Paige 5.0% 5.4% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 7.6% 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 10.2% 8.4% 4.4%
Priscilla Stoll 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 1.7% 1.2% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.4% 4.5% 5.3% 9.8% 17.4% 48.9%
Andrew Tamblyn 10.1% 10.8% 7.3% 8.9% 9.1% 9.9% 9.1% 8.6% 8.0% 6.1% 4.8% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Tom Peabody 6.6% 7.1% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.2% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.