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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+1.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+1.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.32+0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.83-0.06vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.27-0.22vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.95-2.15vs Predicted
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7George Washington University-0.91-0.71vs Predicted
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8American University-2.91-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7932.0%1st Place
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3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9013.5%1st Place
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3.12U. S. Naval Academy1.3220.9%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy0.8312.3%1st Place
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4.78Old Dominion University0.276.2%1st Place
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3.85Rollins College0.9512.9%1st Place
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6.29George Washington University-0.912.0%1st Place
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7.77American University-2.910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Cormie | 32.0% | 26.4% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 13.5% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 20.9% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Margo Cicero | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 6.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 26.3% | 15.8% | 1.3% |
| Milo Miller | 12.9% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Belcastro | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 56.0% | 10.9% |
| Julia Kane | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 9.2% | 86.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.