← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+0.73vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University-0.56+2.41vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida-0.14+0.77vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College-1.54+1.81vs Predicted
-
5Embry-Riddle University0.39-1.97vs Predicted
-
6University of Central Florida-1.97+0.29vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University-2.79+0.20vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College-0.17-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73Jacksonville University1.510.5%1st Place
-
4.41Jacksonville University-0.560.1%1st Place
-
3.77University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
-
5.81Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
-
3.03Embry-Riddle University0.390.2%1st Place
-
6.29University of Central Florida-1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.2Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
-
3.75Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 54.8% | 26.0% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 6.2% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 8.6% | 1.4% |
| Blake March | 9.9% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Julian Drake | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 26.5% | 28.2% | 12.7% |
| Kevin Martin | 16.4% | 23.8% | 24.1% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 22.7% | 31.0% | 23.8% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 22.3% | 60.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 8.4% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.