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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.51+0.75vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-1.54+3.84vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.56+1.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.14-0.25vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University0.39-1.94vs Predicted
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6Florida State University-2.79+1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-1.97-0.66vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College-0.17-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Jacksonville University1.510.5%1st Place
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5.84Rollins College-1.540.0%1st Place
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4.34Jacksonville University-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.75University of South Florida-0.140.1%1st Place
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3.06Embry-Riddle University0.390.2%1st Place
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7.15Florida State University-2.790.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Central Florida-1.970.0%1st Place
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3.77Eckerd College-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 54.3% | 26.0% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Drake | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 27.2% | 30.1% | 12.2% |
| Ella Lansford | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Blake March | 9.8% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martin | 16.2% | 24.0% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 21.2% | 58.6% |
| Nikolas Pantelis | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 19.0% | 33.5% | 25.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 8.0% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.