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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.19vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.75-2.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
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3.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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2.67Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 52.3% | 29.2% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 8.6% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 25.2% | 25.7% | 4.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.0% | 18.8% | 24.5% | 25.6% | 16.5% | 1.6% |
| Ricky Miller | 20.8% | 25.5% | 27.6% | 18.7% | 6.8% | 0.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.8% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.9% | 40.4% | 10.5% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 83.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.