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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.74vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+0.68vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
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2.68Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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3.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 53.3% | 27.5% | 12.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.6% | 28.7% | 26.3% | 16.3% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Florence Duff | 9.5% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 27.4% | 27.2% | 2.9% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.1% | 18.7% | 26.3% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 1.7% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.9% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 38.5% | 10.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 83.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.