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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+1.63vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.36-0.30vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.75-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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1.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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2.69Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 9.4% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 24.3% | 28.2% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 53.1% | 27.5% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.0% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 26.5% | 15.2% | 2.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.4% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 21.6% | 40.2% | 8.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 84.3% |
| Ricky Miller | 18.8% | 29.7% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.