Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Billing 9.9% 12.5% 10.4% 10.4% 10.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.6% 6.3% 4.3% 5.6% 2.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Jessica Claflin 8.9% 9.4% 7.8% 9.8% 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 10.1% 9.0% 8.3% 5.7% 3.6% 3.0% 0.5%
Bo McClatchy 8.3% 9.9% 8.1% 10.8% 8.7% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 7.8% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8%
Tom Peabody 5.0% 6.1% 7.8% 6.7% 7.3% 7.8% 9.0% 8.3% 6.9% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 6.1% 1.7%
Andrew Tamblyn 7.6% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 10.6% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 6.6% 5.0% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7%
Alexander Rudkin 2.9% 2.5% 2.6% 3.8% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.3% 7.8% 9.1% 11.3% 11.0% 18.2% 13.9%
Connor Needham 14.0% 14.0% 12.4% 10.0% 9.8% 9.4% 8.7% 5.5% 6.8% 4.2% 2.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Caleb Armstrong 9.7% 10.4% 10.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 9.5% 6.9% 6.4% 8.1% 5.8% 3.9% 2.7% 0.5%
Matthew Paige 6.0% 3.9% 4.4% 5.3% 6.7% 5.6% 6.4% 9.4% 10.8% 9.2% 10.7% 11.6% 6.6% 3.4%
William Simon 3.5% 2.9% 3.3% 3.5% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 5.9% 8.2% 8.1% 10.3% 14.0% 14.2% 8.0%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 14.7% 11.3% 12.5% 10.3% 10.6% 9.6% 8.0% 6.8% 5.6% 4.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2%
John McGlynn 5.8% 5.2% 6.4% 6.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 8.9% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 5.6% 3.3%
Priscilla Stoll 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.9% 4.7% 5.4% 9.5% 15.8% 48.8%
Thomas Presti 2.2% 1.7% 3.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.1% 6.1% 4.4% 7.0% 9.6% 15.0% 19.0% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.