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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.00vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+4.27vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+1.18vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+1.03vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.29-0.11vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.67-1.50vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.25-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Penn State University1.1345.9%1st Place
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6.27Rutgers University-1.503.7%1st Place
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4.18Princeton University-0.4510.1%1st Place
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5.03American University-0.866.6%1st Place
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5.61Drexel University-0.935.2%1st Place
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5.89University of Delaware-1.294.6%1st Place
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6.04Catholic University of America-1.274.3%1st Place
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6.5University of Delaware-1.673.9%1st Place
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3.47Virginia Tech-0.2515.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 45.9% | 27.5% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 21.2% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 10.1% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% |
| Seton Dill | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.4% |
| Laura MacMillan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 25.5% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 15.7% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.